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Ascended Heroes pull rates and god pack odds: what the data shows

Pokémon TCG: Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes launched on January 30, 2026 and is the most searched 2026 set for god pack odds. There are no official numbers, so here is what independent openings report, with sample sizes.

Ascended Heroes at a glance

What do the colours mean?
Official on the site’s own pagesReported only other sources say itConflict sources disagreeNot verified not published

How we check facts

English releaseJanuary 30, 2026Sources: Samurai Sword Tokyo: 2026 set release schedule · Bill’s Archive: release calendarReported
How it’s soldElite Trainer Boxes (9 packs plus a promo card), tins, sticker collections and booster bundlesSource: TCGTalk: Ascended Heroes pull rates and god pack odds (100-pack opening)Reported
Chase cardsDragonite and Gengar Special Illustration Rares; Psyduck Illustration RareSource: TCGTalk: Ascended Heroes pull rates and god pack odds (100-pack opening)Reported
Official pull ratesNone. The Pokémon Company doesn’t publish them.Source: TCGTalk: Ascended Heroes pull rates and god pack odds (100-pack opening)Reported

Pull rates: one 100-pack opening vs community estimates

Read this first. The “observed” column is a single opening of 100 packs (11 Elite Trainer Boxes plus one pack). That is a small sample: the Illustration Rare result is about double the community estimate, which is what luck looks like at this size. Use the estimates for planning and the opening as a reality check.
RarityObserved in 100 packsCommunity estimate (per pack)
ex / Mega ex (Double Rare)21 in 100 (about 1 in 5)1 in 5–7
Illustration Rare11 in 100 (about 1 in 9)1 in 18–25
Full Art Trainer6 in 100 (about 1 in 17)1 in 25–35
Full Art Pokémon2 in 100 (about 1 in 50)1 in 45–60
Special Illustration Rare0 in 1001 in 100–120

Source: TCGTalk: Ascended Heroes pull rates and god pack odds (100-pack opening)

God pack odds: three sources

SourceWhat it reports
TCGTalkNone in its 100-pack opening. Estimates 1 in 1,500 to 1 in 4,000 packs (mid estimate 1 in 2,500).Source: TCGTalk: Ascended Heroes pull rates and god pack odds (100-pack opening)
TCGplayerReported finding no god packs in a sample of more than 2,000 packs.Source: TCGplayer: Pokémon TCG Ascended Heroes pull rates
CardChillIts tracker reports about 5 god packs in roughly 5,200 English packs, around 1 in 1,000.Source: CardChill: Ascended Heroes pull rates tracker

These figures don’t contradict each other as much as they seem to. A god pack is rare enough that even 2,000 packs can contain zero: at 1 in 1,000, you’d expect two, and finding none happens about one time in seven. All three sources fit a true rate somewhere between 1 in 1,000 and 1 in 4,000 packs. Reported

What that means in money: at roughly 1 in 1,000 to 4,000, chasing a god pack by opening packs is not a plan. Open the set because you enjoy it.

Should you rip Ascended Heroes or buy singles?

With Special Illustration Rares estimated at 1 in 100 to 120 packs and about eight in the set, the odds of pulling one specific chase card are in the hundreds of packs. If you want a particular card, buying it is almost always cheaper than opening packs to find it.

Related: Pokémon pull rates explained · Delta Reign pull rates · open Pokémon packs online

FAQ

What are the god pack odds in Ascended Heroes?

Nobody knows exactly: there are no official odds. Reported figures range from about 1 in 1,000 packs (CardChill’s tracker: about 5 in 5,200) to 1 in 4,000 (TCGTalk’s conservative estimate). TCGplayer reported none in more than 2,000 packs.

What are the Ascended Heroes pull rates?

In one documented 100-pack opening: ex or Mega ex in about 1 of 5 packs, Illustration Rares in about 1 of 9, Full Art Trainers in about 1 of 17, Full Art Pokémon in about 1 of 50, and no Special Illustration Rare. Community estimates put Special Illustration Rares at 1 in 100 to 120 packs.

When did Ascended Heroes come out?

January 30, 2026 in English.

What are the chase cards in Ascended Heroes?

The Dragonite and Gengar Special Illustration Rares are the most cited, along with the Psyduck Illustration Rare.

Can you tell a god pack by weight?

Collectors report weighing packs, and one source lists heavier readings for confirmed god packs, but the data is thin and user-reported. Treat it as unproven.

Sources

  1. Samurai Sword Tokyo: 2026 set release schedule (third party)
  2. Bill’s Archive: release calendar (third party)
  3. TCGTalk: Ascended Heroes pull rates and god pack odds (100-pack opening) (third party)
  4. TCGplayer: Pokémon TCG Ascended Heroes pull rates (third party)
  5. CardChill: Ascended Heroes pull rates tracker (third party)