Chaos Rising pull rates, chase cards and odds
Chaos Rising’s chase is Mega Greninja ex, as a Special Illustration Rare and as the set’s Mega Hyper Rare. Retailer and community counts agree on the common hits and disagree on the rarest ones.
Chaos Rising at a glance
| English release | May 22, 2026Sources: Samurai Sword Tokyo: 2026 set release schedule · Bill’s Archive: release calendar | Reported |
|---|---|---|
| Pack contents | 10 cards, 1 Basic Energy and 1 Pokémon TCG Live code card. No official odds are printed.Source: Samurai Sword Tokyo: Chaos Rising, confirmed vs reported | Reported |
| Headline chase | Mega Greninja ex (Special Illustration Rare and Mega Hyper Rare)Source: TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates | Reported |
Chaos Rising pull rates
| Rarity | Rate per pack |
|---|---|
| Double Rare | about 1 in 5Source: TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates |
| Illustration Rare | about 1 in 9Source: TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates |
| Ultra Rare | about 1 in 12Source: TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates |
| Special Illustration Rare (any) | about 1 in 83Source: TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates |
| Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare | about 0.20% (roughly 1 in 500)Source: TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates |
| Mega Hyper Rare | about 1 in 956Source: TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates |
What the numbers mean
- TCGTalk counted 2 Special Illustration Rares in 268 packs (about 1 in 134), and a 55-pack opening found none. Both are small samples next to TCGplayer’s.
Rip or buy singles?
A rate for a rarity isn’t a rate for a card. If you want one specific chase card, your odds are a fraction of the rarity’s rate, often hundreds or thousands of packs. Buying the single is almost always cheaper. Open packs because you enjoy it, and read are Pokémon packs worth it?
Other sets: Ascended Heroes · Perfect Order · Pitch Black · 30th Celebration · Delta Reign · all pull rates
FAQ
What are the Chaos Rising pull rates?
Double Rare: about 1 in 5. Illustration Rare: about 1 in 9. Ultra Rare: about 1 in 12. Special Illustration Rare (any): about 1 in 83. Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare: about 0.20% (roughly 1 in 500). Mega Hyper Rare: about 1 in 956. These are community and retailer counts, not official odds.
When did Chaos Rising come out?
May 22, 2026 in English.
What is the Chaos Rising chase card?
Mega Greninja ex. See the table above for its odds.
Does The Pokémon Company publish pull rates?
No. Every figure comes from people opening packs and counting. Larger samples are more reliable.
Sources
- TCGplayer: Chaos Rising pull rates (third party)
- TCGTalk: Chaos Rising pull rates (268 packs) (third party)
- ComicBook: 55 Chaos Rising packs opened (third party)
- Samurai Sword Tokyo: Chaos Rising, confirmed vs reported (third party)
- Samurai Sword Tokyo: 2026 set release schedule (third party)